IN NIGERIA, AGITATIONS FOR POLITICAL RESTRUCTURING MOVE TO TOP GEAR

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Analysis by Pat Chukwuelue
One can blame the current political situation in Nigeria on the high level of unemployment, illiteracy or ignorance, corruption and bad governance, or simply on the problem of underdevelopment facing the country. Whatever factor you hold culpable, the truth is that the level of frustration among the polity has gone haywire. Various groups – formal and informal – have bandied together to demand changes in the way things are in the country. The elite call it political restructuring or true federalism but this simply means the rearrangement of the mode of sharing the national cake. In more simple terms, every group wants to be part of the action.

The so-called Revenue Allocation formula has become the object of attack. Many people feel that the formula is heavily weighted in favour of the central authority. The federal government in Abuja allocates budgets to the country’s 36 states, many of which do not bother to generate their own resources. Some have become like landlords and rent agents, only content to share what gets to them from Abuja and wait till the next month. They cannot even pay their workforce with what they get, talk more of planning how to beef up infrastructure or attend to other pressing social and economic concerns.

But the issue is not left for the states and their governments. Nigerians of all ethnic groups whether in the North or South believe that fethey have an answer to the country’s problems and cannot wait to be asked to advance the answer. They feel that the way things are run in the country is neither good for them or for the system. Majority of the elite want power to be devolved to the states so that they can hold the politicians accountable.

One of the curious aspects of the current trend is that notable Southwest politicians who have been championing the quest for true federalism are now in the APC, which has since May 2015 become the ruling party. One would have expected that since they are now inside the power room, as against being in the corridors of power, they would openly set the machinery in motion to ensure the devolution of powers to the states and local governments. This will not just entrench true federalism but will also make the burden of the ruling clique much lighter. It will certainly make many people happier.

The National Assembly – made up of two chambers ostensibly elected by the people – have not been able to rise to the occasion. When the important bill on the issue of true federalism was presented to the legislators last July, they chickened out. The bill that contained ways of transferring certain vital powers such as healthcare, electricity generation and regulation, agriculture,  railways, stamp duty and education from the federal government to the states was turned into a ball, the type jokers like to play. Most Nigerians, including some legislators who watched the buffoonery in the National Assembly, could not believe how the bill was easily defeated. This happened in the legislature controlled by the APC. In the Senate, for instance, only 46 lawmakers voted in favour of the bill that required 72 to pass.

The explanation by the Senate President that the bill failed to sail through due to the poor information available to his colleagues in the upper chamber was an after-thought. His promise to ensure that the bill will be re-introduced in the chamber, is neither here nor there. That singular failure gave vent to the increase in recent times to the agitations for restructuring and indeed confederation or secession. The agitations have definitely heated the polity and have rendered many moderators totally impotent. In other democracies, it is the legislature that mirrors the mood of the people it represents and seeks ways of working in tandem with the electorate. But in the National Assembly, we have agbada and caftan-wearing people who do not know their left from their right and prefer to ride roughshod over the wishes of the people they represent  They see everything in terms of what will accrue to them as material benefits.

But the Senate President, Abubakar Saraki, spoke the truth when he referred to the level of mistrust in both the hallowed chambers of the legislature and the country as a factor. Although he stopped short of saying so, it is no secret that many senators are not intelligent enough to understand the true essence or import of devolution of powers. He did not say what magic would be necessary to get the legislators to monitor the mood of Nigerians and act accordingly when the bill is re-presented in the chamber.

The APC has however woken from its slumber. It has now set up a panel of respectable politicians to come up with the party’s position on true federalism. It says that the recommendations of the panel will be reviewed by the party before the machinery for the implementation will be presented to the federal government. One hopes the powers-that be in Abuja will agree with the outcome of the panel’s work.

Many Nigerians who voted for General Buhari to become president in March 2015 seem to have become disappointed. They had looked forward to seeing a magic wand that would sweep clean the Augean stable – wipe out corruption, create employment and boost economic activities, generally. They could not have foreseen that the man himself would not just start the formation of his executive cabinet late but more ominously fall sick only a few months after being inaugurated in office. How could they have seen that the man would spend all of 150 days – close to half of one year – on medical vacation, which is actually the euphemism for the battle of his life? Now an ailing or recuperating president, who has clearly lost gas, is likely to see governance in different light.
This explains why various groups have been emboldened to take the laws into their hands. Agitators for different causes simply storm the streets shouting for recognition and legitimacy. All sorts of groups have come to the limelight. In the South, one was used  to hearing of MOSOP and later, MASSOB emerged. Before long, IPOB, the one led by the iconic youth called Nnamdi Kanu, stole the pride of place from MASSOB. Even on the politically sagacious level, Ohaneze Ndigbo has been polluted by smaller and less coherent groups. The same goes for the North. These days, it is hard to know which group speaks for which individuals or ethnic people. Politics seems to have become a buyer’s affair. In the circumstances, nether the center nor the sides can hold.
An increasingly frustrated federal government seems to be losing steam. It tends to believe that the forces of coercion and violence will replace all-inclusive political strategies. But all hope is not lost. The folks who believe that they understand economic indices say that Nigeria has climbed out of recession. On paper, this should be cheery. This will have to translate to the fall in food prices. House-hold good will need to become cheaper for the common man to believe it. The people are waiting.

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